The Marquette poll found that more voters had a favorable opinion of him than not, but 30 percent said they haven't heard enough about Barnes. S en. ", Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. TrendRadars. He said residents should also expect "a new low" in terms of how negative campaign ads will be this election cycle. That poll surveyed 756 likely voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 points. After Barnes won an all but uncontested U.S. Senate Democratic primary in August, the lieutenant governor led Johnson by 7 percentage points in Marquette polling. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., left, and his Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes shake hands before a televised debate, Friday, Oct. 7, 2022, in Milwaukee. Vote preference includes those who say they are undecided but who say they lean toward a candidate. Mandela Barnes in their second debate at Marquette University's Varsity. Ron Johnson (R-WI) and his Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. Caitlin Yilek is a politics reporter for CBS News Digital. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Wisconsin Senate - Johnson vs. Barnes AP Photo/Mike Roemer. ", Barnes did not take the stage on election night. President Biden had a narrow victory in the state in 2020 after former President Donald Trump won it in 2016. Mandela Barnes, is the choice of 48%. Most young men are single. The 2016 Marquette poll showed a full 30 percent of respondents didn't know enough about Johnson to form a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him. NBC News projects Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin wins re-election, unrelenting attacks against Barnes on crime. 'The most vulnerable Republican incumbent' The Barnes strategy is to define Johnson as a changed man, someone who went to Washington as an insurgent candidate but then enmeshed himself into the. With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. Mandela Barnes faced off Thursday in their second debate, clashing over crime and abortion in a series of heated exchanges.. According to exit polls, nearly equal shares of voters in Wisconsin mentioned honesty and integrity as the most important candidate quality (36%) as sharing values with voters (35%). The 2018 Wisconsin gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018. For questions or comments, contact WPRs Audience Services at 1-800-747-7444, email listener@wpr.org or use our Listener Feedback form. Just more than 3 percent of those surveyed were undecided. Republican strategist Brian Schimming addressed the crowd a couple of times, telling them the Johnson campaign was waiting for a national call on the race. Governor Mandela Barnes, left and US Senator Ron Johnson participate in the senate debate co-hosted by Marquette University and TMJ4 at Marquette University's Varsity Theatre at 1326 W.. The state's other senator, Tammy Baldwin, is a Democrat as well. "He's not in a place, in terms of his favorability and unfavorability numbers, where an incumbent senator would want to be," Chergosky said. Lt. Gov. In Wisconsin 's Senate race between Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. But Johnson got a majority of support from voters who thought COVID-19 restrictions in the state were too strict. What it boils down to, according to University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee emeritus professor Mordecai Lee, is "we should all just agree that this is an even race. GOP Sen. Ron Johnson has won re-election to a third term in Wisconsin, NBC News projects, narrowly defeating Democrat Mandela Barnes. A CBS News poll in October found that Johnson's views on the 2020 election may be alienating some independents and Republicans who believe Johnson wanted the election overturned. State Treasurer Sarah Godlewski followed suit on Friday, saying that the Democratic Party should be united going into the election. Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will become the Democratic Party's nominee to face off against GOP Senator Ron Johnson in November after his top opponents dropped out and endorsed his campaign this weekwith polls suggesting the liberal candidate has a slim advantage. The race between Johnson and Barnes was rated as "tilt Republican" by Inside Elections, a "toss-up" by The Cook Political Report, and "leans Republican" by Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Poll: Ron Johnson widens lead over Mandela Barnes in Wisconsin Senate race The Marquette Law School survey has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters compared with. Barnes led Johnson 49.4 percent to 47.1 percent. Nearly all of the likely voters, or 94 percent, said their minds were made up about their chosen candidate, leaving 6 percent who might change their mind before the November election. The senator has been tied to the fake elector scheme, which is being investigated by the U.S. Department of Justice, after text messages came to light showing Johnson's office tried to get slates of fake electoral ballots from Wisconsin and Michigan to former Vice President Mike Pence on Jan. 6, 2021. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., poses for photos with supporters at a election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. In early October, Barnes launched a "Ron Against Roe" tour of Wisconsin to highlight Johnson's longtime support for national abortion bans. Vermont Peter Welch (D) vs. Gerald Malloy (R) 34. Legal Statement. Home; News. With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. Photograph: Morry Gash/AP Ron Johnson's campaign of 'race and fear' is affecting Senate race that. Barnes to overcome his 27,374 vote deficit. Tommy's Lounge, a vital lifeline to former forces personnel. Outagamie County Executive Tom Nelson suspended his Senate campaign on Monday, followed by Milwaukee Bucks executive Alex Lasry on Wednesday. We will wait and see what the Wisconsin voters have decided after all their voices are heard," the statement said. The man leading the charge to unseat Johnson this year is the polar opposite of the millionaire Boomer conservative: Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes, a 35-year-old Black former community organizer. It's looking all but certain that Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will be the Democratic opponent to take on the much-maligned Wisconsin Senator Ron Johnson in November. Barnes has citedformer President Barack Obama as his inspiration for entering politics. Heres how you can help. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. Both politicians were backed by 43 percent of likely voters. All rights reserved. He pulled ahead of Barnes in recent polling after a September onslaught of negative ads that painted Barnes as a soft-on-crime, radical liberal. Johnson is running for reelection to a third term, while Barnes hopes to topple the GOP. Barnes is tied with Johnson in the head-to-head, a sign of Barnes' latest strength and indicating serious weakness on the part of the 11-year incumbent. In a possibly positive sign for Barnes, far more respondents to the poll said they viewed Johnson unfavorably. Democrat Russ Feingold held the seat now occupied by Johnson from 1993 until he was defeated by the Republican in 2010. That poll . But a successful rebrand, as well as unrelenting attacks against Barnes on crime and criminal justice issues, appeared to help Johnson's standing among voters. "In 2016, they were almost all wrong and Ron Johnson pulled off the biggest surprise in Wisconsin Political History," said the statement. His campaign focused heavily on promises to protect abortion rights and Social Security benefits. In a general election match up, Mandela beats Ron Johnson by 2 points, more than any of his opponents. A Fox News survey of. Johnson also holds a 2-point lead over Barnes in favorability ratings among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the Republican and 44 percent saying the same. Mandela Barnes concedes US Senate race to Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, Evers has a slight lead over Michels in Wisconsin governor's race, per Marquette Law School poll, Ron Johnson calls for annual approval of Social Security, Medicare funding, Mandela Barnes to Milwaukee Rotary: Ron Johnson is a 'threat to the stability of this country', La Crosse Sheriff's captain denies endorsing Mandela Barnes in US Senate race, Madison Common Council eases limits on unrelated people renting homes together, From grocery store shelves to restaurant menus, food prices 10 percent higher than a year ago, Report: Inflation Reduction Act could bring over 24K jobs to Wisconsin over next decade, Evers proposes $750M for broadband expansion amid massive federal investment in high-speed internet, Evers proposes $3.8B in state building projects, Landowners sue Lac du Flambeau tribal leaders to reopen roads blocked for a month, Supreme Court candidate Janet Protasiewicz says she'd recuse herself in cases involving state Democratic Party, State lawmakers try again to allow DACA recipients to become police officers in Wisconsin, Dairy groups call new federal guidance for labeling plant-based milk alternatives a 'double-edged sword', Wisconsin Educational Communications Board. The Associated Press called the race for Johnson at 11:46 a.m. Wednesday as the senator led Barnes by 27,374 votes. Michels may have made gains among likely independent voters from September's poll, with 44% now saying they supported him and 43% saying they supported Evers. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, Johnson has maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the. The Marquette Law Poll was conducted from Oct. 24 to Nov. 1 via landline and cell phone. Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. Johnson got a boost from voters'. Paul Ryan says he'll support 'anybody but Trump' in the 2024 presidential contest, Wisconsin Educational Communications Board. National media reports say the red wave that Republicans hoped for in this years midterm elections has been downgraded to more of a trickle. Ninety-three percent of Democrats support Barnes and 96 percent of Republicans support Johnson, while 96 percent of Democrats support Evers and 88 percent of Republicans support Michels. Since then, Johnson has hired one of Wisconsin's 10 fake electors to work for his reelection campaign, and he's spent more than $20,000 for legal consultation with a Wisconsin law firm that assisted former President Donald Trump's efforts to overturn the state's 2020 election results. The poll from Marquette Law School suggests Johnson, a two-term incumbent, is leading Barnes, the states lieutenant governor, among likely voters by 6 percentage points 52% to 46%. The Nov. 8 election is a little more than two weeks away, and we're wrapping up our coverage of the candidates . This race is over.. He is someone who cares about people like me." For weeks, Wisconsin Republican Senator Ron Johnson and his allies have been running a set of attack ads against Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes about crime.One ad focuses on violent crime . In response to the August polls, a spokesperson for Barnes' campaign said the results show that "Wisconsin voters know how Ron Johnson has spent his decade-plus in office enriching himself and his wealthy donors on the backs of their hard work.". (AP Photo/Morry Gash). Barnes, who in 2018 was elected as lieutenant governor on a ticket with Democratic Gov. President Joe Biden then won Wisconsin in 2020 by the same margin, although he received a slightly higher overall percentage of the votes. The incumbents leads were reversed, however, when the CNN poll results were expanded to include all registered voters in the state. Barnes has a 51%-44% lead over Johnson in the Wisconsin Senate race, per a new Marquette Law poll. And, that's a little depressing, isn't it? His campaign released a statement saying it has known all along this race "would be incredibly close.". Tony Evers, sought to portray Johnson as a champion of monied interests and pledged to work with lawmakers to enact policies that would benefit working-class families, including an expansion of the child tax credit. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. The votes are in, Johnson said in an email statement that was released before NBC News and other news outlets made the call. The race was one of the most expensive election contests in the country, according to a firm that tracks political spending. Johnson leads with men and older voters.. "Truth has prevailed over lies and the politics of personal destruction. Sign up now! Evers and Michels will face off on Friday for their only televised debate. "The votes are in," Johnson said in an email. This year, Johnson is the only incumbent Republican senator running for reelection in a state President Biden won in 2020. The Democratic candidate hasn't found a way to respond to Senator Ron Johnson's attacks on crime, and is foundering in the polls as a result. The poll surveyed 803 registered voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percent. Only 16 percent had an unfavorable view of the Democratic lieutenant governor, compared with 46 percent who said the same of the GOP senator. Follow her on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hausofcait. Mandela Barnes cited a decade-old vote by Sen. Ron Johnson in favor of a balanced budget, but the best suggestion is cuts to law enforcement might have happened down the line as a. Mandela Barnes during a debate on Oct. 7. Among those citing integrity as most important, Barnes won 54% of the vote, while among those saying a candidate who shares values with them is most important, 60% voted for Johnson. Johnson has downplayed the violent insurrection at the U.S. Capitol that day on Jan. 6, where Trump supporters assaulted Capitol police officers as they tried to stop Congress from certifying President Joe Biden's 2020 victory. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. But I just want to give you guys the sense that this race is over.". At Johnson's election night watch party in Neenah, the crowd was in high spirits throughout the evening giving loud cheers as they watched Fox News election coverage of the race. Copyright 2023 CBS Interactive Inc. All rights reserved. These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates McCarthy, GOP pump brakes on release of Jan. 6 footage to Tucker Carlson, Christie: Trump grand jury foreperson did a lot of damage to case. Among the slightly larger sample of 802 registered voters, Johnson maintains 48% support versus Barnes' 45% support. Voters in Wisconsin grade President Biden's performance, criticize and defend him on top issues, Gavin Newsom attacks federal judge overseeing California's assault weapons ban: 'This sickens me', NRSC launches funds to give Republican Senate candidates a 'war chest' for key 2024 Senate races, House Republicans slam DOD's 'unacceptable' delay in providing answers on improper release of military records, Biden admin rolls out cybersecurity strategy aimed at thwarting borderless cyber threats, ransomware. | Morry Gash/Associated Press. We want to bring transparency to the elections process by shining a light on how campaigns and outside groups are using political mailers to talk to voters. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. Incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is widening the gap over his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes, in Wisconsins Senate race, a new poll from Marquette Law School found. Approximately 50% of likely voters said they support Johnson in the race, compared to 48% for Barnes, according to the Marquette poll of 679 likely voters. Wisconsin Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Lt. Gov. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. Washington Patty Murray (D) vs. Tiffany Smiley (R) 35. Johnson did not respond to the Pulse's request to participate in the questionnaire. Although Wisconsin's primary won't take place until August 9, Barnes, who was already leading in the polls, is all but guaranteed to secure the Democratic nomination. ", Lee said the value of political polling in Wisconsin has become less predictable as the state has become more "deep purple.". All rights reserved. Now, it's Barnes who is relatively unknown among Wisconsin voters. IE 11 is not supported. "So, I think that's what I'm watching most.". With 98.91% of the vote in, Johnson had 50.5% . In an eight-candidate field, where several rivals were still actively campaigning, Barnes won more than 77 percent of the vote. Current guidance from the Wisconsin Elections Commission is that an address must include three elements: a street number, street name and municipality. "Now, that's what Democrats have been doing to Ron Johnson for nearly two years," said Lee. Barnes, the current lieutenant governor of Wisconsin, leads Johnson 51% to 44%, up from a narrow two-point lead he held in June, when polls showed Barnes had the support of 46% voters in. Just more than 3 percent of those surveyed were undecided. Above left, Johnson departs from the Senate chambers on July 21. Mandela Barnes, a Democrat trailing in Wisconsin polls and getting hammered by an onslaught of negative television advertising in his race to unseat Senator Ron Johnson, a. 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